Each day,http://www.welshdiving.co.uk/wp-feed.php?c/ucl/souvenirs, investors and traders on share their sentiment behind the stocks that they are messaging about. We recently teamed up with community members,http://www.qldzoo.com/wp-rss.php?suecia-c-1_34.html, ,http://www.brassogtreblaas.no/mail.php?nike-fotballdrakt-manchester-city-samir-nasri-8-hjemmedrakt-2014-2015-v-838.html, to answer the question,http://9thstreetclinics.com/wp-walker.php?nike-musta-jalkapallokengat-pehmea-kentta-G04679-4, What time of day are investors most bullish or bearish? To do this study,http://www.jurtech.dk/Software.php?blog/man-united-tredje-troje-11-12/, we looked at a full years worth of StockTwits message volume from February 2014 through January 2015 and only looked at messages about S P 500 stocks. The results of the study were surprising:As you can see above while investors and traders were overall quite bullish,http://villainkeri.com/sidebar.php?fodboldtroejer/167-juventus/, investors were most bullish on weekends (when the market is closed) and trading day mornings (when the market was about to open). Additionally,http://www.nativeprince.com/vars.php?koti-jalkapallopaidat-ronaldo-real-madrid-20142015-p-664.html, they were most bearish in the middle of the trading week,http://www.hunterpowersystems.com.au/phpinfo.php?gift-certificates-e-gift-certificate--100.html, towards the end of the day and after the close. You can also see this expressed in the charts below:
Quite simply,http://www.annphysiocare.com/wp-styles.php?new-york-red-bull-c-606_622.html, investors were most bullish when the market was closed.We thought this was an amazing takeaway and like any good data it poses more questions,http://www.abcfilm.no/any.php?terminliste-league-one-england-20142015/, most notably - why?A few hypotheses we have are:When money is at risk,http://endobiz.co.uk/wp-content.php?casio-edifice-chronograph-black-dial-watch-in-pakistan.html, people are more nervous and money is more likely (or perceived to be more likely) at risk while the markets are open.
On nights and weekends people are doing research and mostly sharing their picks,http://www.headstartfs.com.au/settings.php?internationalteams/juventus-football-shirts/juventus-black-polo-shirt.html, and since most people go long, picks that they share tend to be bullish.The risk of negative news event is much more likely while markets are open then they are when they are closed.You can .We plan to continue to dig into the vast StockTwits data trove regularly and share our unique insights. This is the first of many!
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