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TOPIC: 09年中国汽车销售利好的六大因子和一大隐患

09年中国汽车销售利好的六大因子和一大隐患 10 years 9 months ago #9107

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2009 China car sales and a good six big risk factor,Air Jordan 2013 Online Shop
then auto market in 2009 in the end is what posture? After a 2008 sales forecast of millions of shattered after all the industry experts are beginning to be cautious prediction: that would basically be summed up steadily. Expected sales growth in 2008 compared to about 5%. But car manufacturers bigwigs yet locked in about 10% growth. And I prefer the latter even higher (of course, it also requires all manufacturers to work together to resolve the car price bubble). It does not matter who predicted quasi? 2009 Chinese automobile important what is to grow? It is hidden and what the consumer? The following author conducted from the automotive market demand and market analysis of both the policy environment: to peep in 2009 China's auto consumption potential demand from the market point of view, people low average car ownership; housing market is not the stock market investment prospects, potential consumers hand car the spare cash to increase; automotive consumer suit-tier cities, second and third tier cities outbreak. Three internal consumer demand to see the automobile market in 2009 do not have a pessimistic car ownership in China less than the current 60 / thousand, up to 85% of China's current rate of first-time buyers of car ownership per 1000 per capita less than 60, while the figure for the United States and Canada 820, Japan 560, Germany 610, even Brazil and Russia, respectively, 160 and 250. We only 1,000 people in Brazil have only car 160 standard, China's 1.3 billion population,Cheap Jordans, multiplied by 100/1000 (vehicle / person),kids jordan, China still has 130 million cars for growth. From this perspective,0洪都拉斯, the huge potential of China's auto market In addition,06翻译4班, we pay special attention to, despite the global financial crisis had a significant impact on the automotive market, the United States, Japan and Europe markets to shrink. But we should see most of the U.S. and European markets are the second car owners, especially the vast majority of the American car is sold in the form of leasing. For European and American consumers, buying a new car owners are most car owners, they buy a new car is just trendy to try and reward yourself, rather than have to buy goods. When the arrival of the financial crisis, to reduce unnecessary spending, many consumers will obviously change this non-essential spending cuts out and is completely different in this case China, Chinese consumers up to 85% of the rate of first-time buyers , decided to enter this expenditure is their life or well-off middle-class life in the iconic consumer goods. For first-time buyers of consumers, car attractive to them is much greater than twice or several times the attractiveness of car buyers in developed countries in Europe and America. And after spending the necessity of this expenditure is gradual accumulation of wealth they believe the family, rather than entertainment expenses. So I believe that the impact of the financial crisis in 2009 China's auto market is much smaller than European and American stock markets in developed countries and the housing market fell into a trough car postpone consumption began erupting in fact the year 2008 China's stock market has been in a state of decline, after the initial failure of investors and can not be reconciled, the stock market has been in a wait state, hoping to salvaged costs quickly. This will result in the hands of potential consumers of automobile spare cash because the stock market hopes Anti plate was postponed plans to buy a car. 2009 With the growing financial crisis deepened, the stock market will bear spread a long time, the market has yet to enter the market and consumers, has gradually lost confidence on the stock. On the other hand, the housing market has plummeted in the second half of 2008, in 2009 prices as a whole showed a declining trend is, for those who had originally intended to invest in real estate on the market and consumers apparently are no longer optimistic about the expansion of the city also makes a lot of people's lives radius constantly expanding, the need for such a means of transport. 2009 reduction in interest rates and the people on the sidelines, the stock and property markets spare cash on hand and no place to spend,12月份全国乘用车市场分析, and these potential consumers without proper investment, the potential purchase of the car will be released financial crisis panic decline, consumer budget clearer, second and third tier cities erupted in 2008 with the sale of U.S. investment bank Lehman Brothers bankruptcy, quickly whipped up a global financial crisis, China's accession to the WTO naturally can not stay out of this financial tsunami broke up in 2008 China Southern half induced a large number of corporate bankruptcies, increased unemployment, layoffs national nature of the pay cut, year-end awards shrink and so on. In the extreme instability, difficult for consumers to make a decision to spend a large deposit to buy a car this large country but with the introduction of consumer-related measures 4 trillion investment plans, the domestic economy gradually emerged from the panic, change was calm. In this case, the consumer financial panic crisis is declining, the impact of the crisis on consumers gradually being evaluated out, consumers have a preliminary anticipation and confidence in the future of the balance of payments, budget spending is more uncertain. It also gives the opportunity to bring this year's auto sales automobile consumption depends on the people's purchasing power, with the income and savings of the Chinese people continue to increase,Cheap Jordan Retro Shoes For Sale, with the continuous improvement of the social security system, especially the third and fourth tier cities to buy a car potential customers because of its large capital flows within the region belong to the transfer, the economic structure belonging to domestic consumption, less affected by the financial crisis. Great environment, the proportion of individuals with a vehicle at gradually increased, especially in the automotive tier cities penetration of second, third and fourth tier cities have not yet elite car is no small irritation. Ordinary people's growing passion for the car, the Chinese people's vanity is the case for thousands of years,06日语2班, but not many people will continue to think hard; And now many families, but also with the car despite the current global economic strength economy is in recession among China's economic fundamentals remain relatively strong. With huge foreign exchange reserves, trade surplus and good financial regulatory system, China's economy has shown signs of recovery, which are conducive to China's auto market bottomed out from the market environment, the oil boom of 2009 does not trigger factors Chibidaigou ceased to exist; countries strongly support measures for auto consumption policy of stimulating domestic demand and take further macro-control; Chinese residents automotive consumer spending is still dominated by cash, also determines the financial crisis on China's auto consumption environment will not have much impact on oil prices Hurricane triggered Chibidaigou factors exist in 2009 dropped significantly in 2008 China's automobile market have to say, also with the first half of the international crude oil prices skyrocketing there is a certain relationship between the international price of crude oil was approaching $ 150 / barrel, domestic gasoline prices continue to rise, leading to concerns about consumer automotive car products appear, so the car is on the sidelines, although the second half of 2008 crude oil prices down quickly, domestic oil prices have begun to fall, but the financial crisis has also led to the sidelines of the previous consumer had to postpone the plan to purchase in 2009 of the factors exist in oil prices, international crude oil prices are currently low, domestic oil prices are currently relatively stable, China by the financial crisis in Europe and America are not so strong, all this gave domestic consumer spending confidence in 2008 on the sidelines of the Automotive Consumer spending is also very possible outbreak countries strongly support measures on auto consumption policy of stimulating domestic demand and take further national implementation of macro-control to lower interest rates, and the next few years to invest 4 trillion , a series of macro-control of expanding domestic demand, consumption of the car apparently played a supporting role. The automobile industry for the development of national policies introduced more clearly play an immediate effect
from January 1, 2009 implementation of domestic refined oil tax reform. Cancellation road maintenance and other charges. Cancellation road maintenance,Air Jordan 2013 For Sale, waterway maintenance fees, road transport management fees, road passenger and freight surcharges, water transportation management fees, water passenger and freight surcharges six charges. Gradual and orderly government to cancel the approval of secondary roads repayment charges. Gasoline consumption tax unit tax by a 0.2 yuan per liter to 0.8 yuan to improve diesel increased from 0.1 yuan to 0.7 yuan per liter, other oil products unit tax increased accordingly. The price of refined oil consumption tax levied on gasoline and diesel, the unit tax increase existing gasoline and diesel price level does not improve in 2008, international crude oil prices turbulent. In mid-July after reaching a record high of $ 147 a barrel, all the way to nosedive. In the case of lower international oil prices, the timely introduction of oil tax reform. For ordinary people, with the implementation of oil tax reform,Air Jordan 2013 For Sale, we should pay more taxes and more oil, less oil will be less burden. At the same time the introduction of fuel tax instead of increasing the current drop in oil prices, but also to dispel the fear that the consumer price of gasoline shot up the introduction of fuel tax concerns, you can also attract consumers who purchase cars Chibidaigou Also in 2009, The State Council approved in principle by the automobile industry restructuring and revitalization plan. According to this plan, purchase tax relief is divided according to the car's emissions. 1.6 liters and below passenger cars, the tax rate from 10% down to 5%. This measure will from January 20, 2009 implementation, to December 31, 2009 end. It will also greatly boost sales of small cars. March countries will introduce five billion yuan car to the countryside subsidy policy, these two measures will reduce the number of car buyers are spending behind the desire to stimulate consumer purchase
Chinese residents automotive consumer spending is still dominated by cash
U.S. market plunged more than though, but the Chinese automobile in January 2009, but made a good start in this regard with the relevant preferential policies promulgated by the state has a great relationship, but more important is the U.S. market, 92% of automobile consumption, varying degrees dependent on automobile credit, while the ratio in China is still less than 10%. As the U.S. credit markets suffered a heavy blow to the subprime crisis, until now still difficult to restore,1998年印尼排华事件图片女生慎入, including auto finance company GMAC and other professional verge of bankruptcy, and was taken over by the government to become a bank holding company, is destined to make the U.S. auto consumer credit declined significantly Turning to China, Both the banks or auto finance companies, and international capital markets have not yet achieved full liberalization, 'which ensures that when the crisis hit, suffered against relatively small.' China ushered in the second - in addition to the market's dependence on the automobile consumption credit is not high, so the Chinese auto sales strong in a series of course not hard to understand the factors behind the positive front also hides a depth charge, that is Wave car price bubble. How to effectively defuse car price bubble adjustment process again Chibidaigou not exacerbate the phenomenon, the automobile market has become a problem in 2009 in fact, China's automobile market is still so far not become mature automotive markets. In 2000-2008 international models in succession one after another into the domestic, as a general replacement car for four years, resulting in the domestic auto market after 03,04 07,08 introduced a lot of new cars, there have been small peak influx of new cars.
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